Dmrbs

0x1efe89...bbac77

Smart Score

Win Rate

23.0%

Total P&L

+$468

Trade Count

461

Sharpe Ratio

0.24

Sortino Ratio

0.70

Max Drawdown

1409.5%

ROI

13.8%

Profit Factor

30.06

Kelly Fraction

0.222

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	10.1¢	266	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	10.0¢	90	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	6.3¢	110.37	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	8.8¢	1.9	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	8.8¢	108.47	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	11.7¢	14.69	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	11.7¢	7.89	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	11.7¢	7.61	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	11.7¢	55.81	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	11.7¢	26.85	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	11.7¢	7.6	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	11.7¢	6.69	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	11.7¢	138.86	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	10.0¢	190	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	11.2¢	72.84	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	11.0¢	190	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	11.2¢	8.89	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	11.2¢	8.27	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	9.0¢	125	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	125	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.33

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.0%

Win Consistency42.6%

Profit Factor0.63

Drawdown Resilience0.51

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51

Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Trading Activity461 trades · 76 active days

P&L Calendar

$33941d profit35d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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