DolphSegal

0x3e5134...1f46ba@jnvck_crypto

Smart Score

Win Rate

59.9%

Total P&L

+$103.9K

Trade Count

393

Sharpe Ratio

0.23

Sortino Ratio

1.29

Max Drawdown

603.0%

ROI

949.6%

Profit Factor

91.60

Kelly Fraction

0.592

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

041.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	53.0¢	16.66	Mar 5
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	47.0¢	18.78	Mar 5
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	53.0¢	17.019	Mar 5
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	48.0¢	18.78	Mar 5
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	51.0¢	37.569	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	SELL	89.0¢	16.94	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	SELL	95.6¢	33.91	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 3?	SELL	99.9¢	70.85	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 3?	SELL	99.9¢	201.08	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.6¢	201.083	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 3?	BUY	98.8¢	70.85	Mar 2
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	25.1¢	39.841	Mar 2
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	8.9¢	112.36	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	BUY	64.9¢	15.4	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	BUY	24.0¢	16.667	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	SELL	87.0¢	16.42	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	BUY	60.0¢	16.667	Mar 2
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	BUY	95.3¢	33.914	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	SELL	95.0¢	27.63	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	SELL	56.0¢	27.62	Mar 2

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing41.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.28

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)37.8%

Win Consistency40.6%

Profit Factor1.08

Drawdown Resilience0.87

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.87

Weekly Sharpe est.0.66

Trading Activity393 trades · 65 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,52819d profit44d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue