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DonkeyBonkey

0x994574...a9385b
Smart Score
33
Win Rate
55.2%
Total P&L
+$89
Trade Count
97
Sharpe Ratio
1.38
Sortino Ratio
18.65
Max Drawdown
1756.4%
ROI
1.6%
Profit Factor
1.21
Kelly Fraction
0.096
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
032.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY63.5¢118.376Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY62.0¢161.29Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?SELL84.1¢196.26Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL10.5¢96.93Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY84.0¢196.268Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?SELL77.0¢70Mar 5
Kurds declare independence from Iran?BUY68.0¢14.706Mar 5
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?BUY87.0¢114.943Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY1.3¢76.923Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?BUY65.0¢50.93Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?BUY65.0¢19.07Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL19.0¢140Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY20.0¢80Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY20.0¢20Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY18.0¢60Mar 4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?SELL89.0¢81.65Mar 4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?SELL89.0¢49.438Mar 4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?SELL89.0¢172.61Mar 4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?BUY84.6¢303.705Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL71.0¢361.84Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%16%< 10%9%10–20%13%20–30%9%30–50%31%50–70%9%70–80%7%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing32.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.79
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.7%
Win Consistency48.4%
Profit Factor0.85
Drawdown Resilience0.68
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.68
Weekly Sharpe est.0.52
Trading Activity97 trades · 7 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3261d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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