donkeykongnig

0x45d0f9...b5de55

Smart Score

Win Rate

76.8%

Total P&L

+$67.5K

Trade Count

950

Sharpe Ratio

0.77

Sortino Ratio

3.16

Max Drawdown

66.8%

ROI

12.8%

Profit Factor

1.94

Kelly Fraction

0.372

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

061.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?	SELL	96.0¢	1,441.41	May 19
Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?	SELL	95.0¢	7,500	May 19
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?	SELL	89.0¢	4,319.83	May 19
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?	SELL	97.4¢	5,935.95	May 19
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?	SELL	97.4¢	976.75	May 19
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?	SELL	97.4¢	1,001.9	May 19
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?	SELL	97.4¢	7,500	May 19
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?	SELL	97.4¢	7,115.39	May 19
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?	SELL	97.4¢	384.61	May 19
Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?	SELL	95.1¢	7,499.99	May 19
Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?	SELL	95.1¢	5,000	May 19
Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?	SELL	95.2¢	5,000	May 19
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	SELL	59.0¢	289.58	May 19
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	SELL	59.0¢	16.949	May 19
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?	SELL	99.3¢	2,124.12	May 19
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?	SELL	99.2¢	6,501.56	May 19
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	SELL	59.0¢	203.39	May 19
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	SELL	59.0¢	731.592	May 19
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	SELL	59.0¢	169.492	May 19
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	SELL	59.0¢	3.39	May 19

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active61.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.38

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)56.0%

Win Consistency81.8%

Profit Factor1.60

Drawdown Resilience1.29

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.29

Weekly Sharpe est.0.98

Trading Activity950 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$26,1154d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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