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DonPanic

DonPanic

0x50b242...d8c94a
Smart Score
43
Win Rate
71.9%
Total P&L
+$21.3K
Trade Count
969
Sharpe Ratio
0.83
Sortino Ratio
4.06
Max Drawdown
646.5%
ROI
29.6%
Profit Factor
3.04
Kelly Fraction
0.483
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
042.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?BUY94.8¢97.13Mar 4
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?BUY27.4¢100Mar 3
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?BUY94.8¢2.868Mar 3
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?BUY27.9¢178.69Mar 3
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?BUY27.8¢138.5Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY80.8¢200Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY80.8¢500Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY80.6¢11.75Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY59.0¢100Mar 3
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?SELL99.7¢150.98Mar 3
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?SELL99.7¢6Mar 3
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?SELL99.7¢143Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY94.0¢400Mar 2
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY53.0¢100Mar 2
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY56.0¢100Mar 2
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY58.0¢100Mar 2
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY55.0¢200Mar 2
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?SELL67.9¢82.14Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY44.0¢200Mar 2
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?SELL67.9¢117.855Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%8%10–20%6%20–30%10%30–50%25%50–70%14%70–80%12%80–90%20%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing42.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.34
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.7%
Win Consistency67.5%
Profit Factor1.10
Drawdown Resilience0.89
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.89
Weekly Sharpe est.0.68
Trading Activity969 trades · 38 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$22,1438d profit30d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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