DontGambleKidsPls

0x011bed...a1e44d

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.7%

Total P&L

+$24.5K

Trade Count

971

Sharpe Ratio

0.71

Sortino Ratio

4.91

Max Drawdown

128.2%

ROI

17.8%

Profit Factor

1.45

Kelly Fraction

0.198

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

032.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	BUY	35.0¢	80.54	Mar 1
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?	BUY	97.4¢	11.41	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	95.5¢	11.11	Feb 26
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	SELL	83.0¢	12.78	Feb 26
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	BUY	77.0¢	8.08	Feb 21
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	BUY	77.0¢	8.696	Feb 21
GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?	BUY	90.9¢	12.92	Feb 18
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	BUY	65.0¢	11.75	Feb 4
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	91.8¢	7.63	Feb 3
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	99.0¢	7.08	Feb 3
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	80.0¢	7.08	Feb 2
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2?	SELL	99.9¢	5.67	Feb 2
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2?	BUY	87.0¢	5.67	Feb 1
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	SELL	95.5¢	5	Feb 1
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BUY	75.0¢	7.78	Jan 31
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?	BUY	71.0¢	0.16	Jan 31
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?	SELL	0.1¢	80.4	Jan 23
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?	SELL	0.1¢	2,474.2	Jan 23
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?	SELL	0.1¢	3,191.31	Jan 23
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?	SELL	0.2¢	100	Jan 23

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing32.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.78

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.5%

Win Consistency51.7%

Profit Factor0.84

Drawdown Resilience0.68

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.68

Weekly Sharpe est.0.52

Trading Activity971 trades · 33 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,29111d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue