Dorzalal

0x2a0c5e...e2a35a

Smart Score

Win Rate

36.7%

Total P&L

+$1.9K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.80

Sortino Ratio

20.37

Max Drawdown

678.9%

ROI

16.1%

Profit Factor

3.05

Kelly Fraction

0.246

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

034.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	BUY	52.0¢	384.615	Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	84.1¢	760.86	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	38.0¢	217.39	Mar 5
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.7¢	755	Mar 3
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?	BUY	37.0¢	54.054	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	92.0¢	760.87	Mar 3
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	22.0¢	2,272.727	Mar 3
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	BUY	48.5¢	1,237.999	Mar 1
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	BUY	48.0¢	229.167	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	46.0¢	217.391	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	99.6¢	3,301.38	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	90.0¢	222.222	Feb 28
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?	SELL	60.7¢	153.81	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	50.0¢	136	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	42.0¢	238.119	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	41.8¢	478.949	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	40.9¢	488.998	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	40.3¢	24.814	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	42.1¢	133.081	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	45.0¢	266.667	Feb 28

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing34.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.89

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.2%

Win Consistency30.0%

Profit Factor0.89

Drawdown Resilience0.72

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.72

Weekly Sharpe est.0.55

Trading Activity93 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

+$9135d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue