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doyoufeelit

doyoufeelit

0x54bbbe...bc35e5
Smart Score
38
Win Rate
72.3%
Total P&L
+$25.4K
Trade Count
993
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Sortino Ratio
0.56
Max Drawdown
6160.0%
ROI
1.0%
Profit Factor
14.48
Kelly Fraction
0.673
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
038.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31?SELL98.0¢1,196.95Nov 4
Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31?SELL98.0¢34.97Nov 2
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?SELL87.0¢5,532Oct 28
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?SELL12.5¢1,000Oct 28
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?SELL7.2¢100Oct 23
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?SELL93.1¢100Oct 22
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?SELL26.0¢1,999.98Oct 22
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?SELL2.3¢2,744.89Oct 22
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY66.0¢1,000Oct 3
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY67.0¢1,000Oct 2
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?SELL90.0¢17,500.07Oct 1
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?SELL81.0¢5,710.29Sep 29
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?SELL81.0¢5.827Sep 29
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?SELL81.0¢10,000Sep 29
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?SELL81.0¢123.457Sep 29
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?SELL81.0¢5.123Sep 29
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?SELL81.0¢3.889Sep 29
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?SELL81.0¢7.037Sep 29
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?SELL81.0¢6.519Sep 29
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?SELL81.0¢5.049Sep 29

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%7%< 10%16%10–20%20–30%10%30–50%15%50–70%8%70–80%16%80–90%26%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing38.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.11
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.8%
Win Consistency58.2%
Profit Factor1.00
Drawdown Resilience0.80
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.80
Weekly Sharpe est.0.61
Trading Activity993 trades · 70 active days
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P&L Calendar
$19,57134d profit36d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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