doyouknowfuture

doyouknowfuture

0x536d48...0b3152
Smart Score
52
Win Rate
85.2%
Total P&L
+$657
Trade Count
1,000
Sharpe Ratio
0.46
Sortino Ratio
1.49
Max Drawdown
30.8%
ROI
3.8%
Profit Factor
1.30
Kelly Fraction
0.197
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
052.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?BUY56.0¢41.5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?BUY56.0¢8.491Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY92.0¢50Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 6?BUY86.0¢60Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?BUY90.0¢53.03Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 6?BUY86.0¢7.5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 6?BUY86.0¢7.5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 6?BUY88.0¢9Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 6?BUY88.0¢9Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 4?BUY51.0¢50Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?BUY90.0¢6.967Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 6?BUY79.7¢60Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 6?BUY86.0¢3Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 4?BUY97.5¢9.48Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 4?BUY97.5¢40.52Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?BUY91.0¢60Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 4?BUY90.0¢50Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 4?BUY98.5¢16.78Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?BUY85.0¢24.52Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 4?BUY55.0¢30.47Mar 4
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%3%30–50%16%50–70%11%70–80%31%80–90%34%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing52.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.87
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)47.4%
Win Consistency78.4%
Profit Factor1.35
Drawdown Resilience1.09
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.09
Weekly Sharpe est.0.83
Trading Activity1,000 trades · 41 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$14,3160d profit41d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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