DrDrunkenstein

DrDrunkenstein

0x40d808...2e0740
Smart Score
39
Win Rate
43.9%
Total P&L
+$893
Trade Count
500
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Sortino Ratio
2.64
Max Drawdown
207.3%
ROI
7.2%
Profit Factor
15.31
Kelly Fraction
0.410
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
039/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 70-71°F on April 3?SELL99.9¢64.98Apr 3
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 72°F or higher on April 3?SELL99.9¢6.66Apr 3
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 70-71°F on April 3?BUY62.0¢48.855Apr 3
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 72°F or higher on April 3?BUY60.0¢6.66Apr 3
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 70-71°F on April 3?BUY62.0¢16.129Apr 3
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 81-82°F on March 29?SELL85.0¢100Mar 29
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 79-80°F on March 29?BUY39.0¢10Mar 29
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 66°F or higher on March 28?SELL0.1¢296.66Mar 29
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 66°F or higher on March 28?SELL0.1¢3.33Mar 29
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 79-80°F on March 29?BUY39.0¢10Mar 29
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 79-80°F on March 29?BUY39.0¢30Mar 29
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 79-80°F on March 29?BUY39.0¢50Mar 29
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 83°F or higher on March 29?BUY5.0¢100Mar 29
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 81-82°F on March 29?BUY11.0¢100Mar 29
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 66°F or higher on March 28?BUY0.5¢178.51Mar 28
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 66°F or higher on March 28?BUY0.5¢21.487Mar 28
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 66°F or higher on March 28?BUY2.0¢100Mar 28
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 50-51°F on March 26?SELL70.0¢50Mar 26
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on March 26?SELL99.9¢82.07Mar 26
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on March 26?BUY96.8¢51.245Mar 26
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%26%< 10%13%10–20%7%20–30%10%30–50%14%50–70%5%70–80%9%80–90%17%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing39

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.15
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.5%
Win Consistency36.6%
Profit Factor1.01
Drawdown Resilience0.82
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.82
Weekly Sharpe est.0.62

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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