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DrK666

0x827227...1c14bb
Smart Score
82
Win Rate
68.8%
Total P&L
+$14.6K
Trade Count
974
Sharpe Ratio
0.74
Sortino Ratio
3.73
Max Drawdown
2.6%
ROI
70.0%
Profit Factor
6.53
Kelly Fraction
0.582
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
081.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Election certified on January 6?BUY0.9¢2.89Jan 3
Election certified on January 6?BUY0.9¢132.657Jan 3
Election certified on January 6?BUY0.9¢1.009Jan 3
Election certified on January 6?SELL2.8¢43.62Jan 2
Election certified on January 6?SELL2.8¢10.24Dec 31
Election certified on January 6?SELL2.8¢94.107Dec 31
Election certified on January 6?BUY2.1¢3,147.97Dec 30
Election certified on January 6?SELL3.3¢112.94Dec 26
Election certified on January 6?SELL3.3¢87.02Dec 26
Will someone else be inaugurated?SELL98.0¢50Dec 24
Will someone else be inaugurated?BUY97.7¢6.07Dec 21
Will someone else be inaugurated?BUY97.7¢12Dec 21
Will someone else be inaugurated?BUY97.7¢10Dec 21
Will someone else be inaugurated?BUY97.7¢9Dec 21
Will someone else be inaugurated?BUY97.7¢11Dec 21
Will someone else be inaugurated?BUY97.7¢1.93Dec 21
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?BUY97.6¢360Dec 20
Will Biden finish his term?SELL5.0¢1,000Dec 19
Will Biden finish his term?SELL7.0¢1,100Dec 18
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?SELL7.0¢1,000Dec 12

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%65%< 10%7%10–20%4%20–30%8%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%12%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Pro81.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.49
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)74.3%
Win Consistency72.9%
Profit Factor2.12
Drawdown Resilience1.71
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.71
Weekly Sharpe est.1.31

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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