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0x61bdfa...49ce44
Smart Score
69
Win Rate
31.3%
Total P&L
+$59
Trade Count
22
Sharpe Ratio
3.35
Sortino Ratio
31.85
Max Drawdown
17.3%
ROI
75.6%
Profit Factor
2.40
Kelly Fraction
0.182
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
068.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 5?BUY2.5¢275Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 5?BUY3.3¢250Mar 5
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?BUY1.4¢30.6Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 4?BUY98.7¢14.51Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 4?BUY2.4¢109Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?BUY1.6¢70Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?BUY1.4¢101Mar 4
Will Rabi Lamichhane be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?BUY1.0¢14.11Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY98.8¢19.66Mar 3
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 3?BUY1.1¢100Mar 3
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY1.2¢152Mar 3
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 3?BUY1.1¢120Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 3?BUY2.8¢32Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 3?BUY2.8¢25Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?BUY0.9¢150Mar 2
US forces enter Iran by March 3?BUY2.0¢50Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?BUY3.1¢70Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?BUY4.3¢74Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?BUY4.3¢60Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?BUY4.3¢85Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%91%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%9%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active68.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.77
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)62.4%
Win Consistency56.3%
Profit Factor1.78
Drawdown Resilience1.44
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.44
Weekly Sharpe est.1.10
Trading Activity22 trades · 6 active days
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P&L Calendar
$770d profit6d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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