DtotheJ

0x6f39c3...d58ad7
Smart Score
37
Win Rate
13.0%
Total P&L
-$686
Trade Count
143
Sharpe Ratio
0.08
Sortino Ratio
0.50
Max Drawdown
0.0%
ROI
-17.2%
Profit Factor
0.70
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
037.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY2.0¢982.816Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY8.9¢169.453Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY10.0¢100Mar 5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY42.2¢591.76Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY11.2¢446.389Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?BUY4.4¢568.182Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?BUY10.0¢500Mar 5
Trump out as President before 2027?BUY18.0¢277.778Mar 5
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?BUY0.7¢2,258.5Mar 5
Will Hillary say "Bill" or "Clinton" during her Epstein testimony?BUY0.7¢3,486.269Mar 5
Will Hillary say "President" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?BUY0.7¢756.143Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?BUY1.9¢2,685.171Mar 5
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY12.0¢500Mar 3
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY2.7¢1,502.648Mar 3
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY20.0¢500Mar 3
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?BUY13.9¢468.446Mar 3
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?BUY9.0¢111.111Mar 3
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY6.7¢371.789Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY20.0¢125Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY9.7¢256.582Mar 3
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%48%< 10%24%10–20%14%20–30%10%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing37.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.06
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.0%
Win Consistency18.3%
Profit Factor0.97
Drawdown Resilience0.79
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.79
Weekly Sharpe est.0.60
Trading Activity143 trades · 24 active days
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P&L Calendar
$3,9130d profit23d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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