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dube

0x631c2b...ea450f
Smart Score
40
Win Rate
59.8%
Total P&L
+$32.9K
Trade Count
958
Sharpe Ratio
0.82
Sortino Ratio
2.74
Max Drawdown
836.1%
ROI
2.9%
Profit Factor
5.18
Kelly Fraction
0.482
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
040.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
North Korea missile launch by March 15?BUY99.9¢3,100Mar 4
North Korea missile launch by March 15?BUY97.0¢1,746.33Mar 4
North Korea missile launch by March 15?SELL94.0¢9.08Mar 4
North Korea missile launch by March 15?BUY77.0¢9.08Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY99.9¢21,346.26Mar 4
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?SELL99.8¢21,367.65Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY99.5¢13,209.68Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY99.5¢200Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY99.5¢1,500Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY99.5¢328Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY99.5¢13,566.16Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY99.5¢100Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY99.5¢27.09Mar 4
Over $5M committed to the Cambria public sale?BUY99.9¢140Mar 4
Over $1M committed to the Cambria public sale?BUY35.0¢50Mar 4
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?BUY94.0¢29.41Mar 4
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?BUY94.0¢83.66Mar 4
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?BUY94.0¢400Mar 4
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?BUY94.0¢16.667Mar 4
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?BUY94.0¢237.1Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%4%30–50%50–70%3%70–80%11%80–90%75%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing40.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.22
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.8%
Win Consistency52.3%
Profit Factor1.05
Drawdown Resilience0.85
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.85
Weekly Sharpe est.0.65
Trading Activity958 trades · 32 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$492,4596d profit26d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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