Duf1988

0x083f81...f5a55f

Smart Score

Win Rate

35.0%

Total P&L

-$3.7K

Trade Count

938

Sharpe Ratio

0.42

Sortino Ratio

2.11

Max Drawdown

1231.3%

ROI

-15.3%

Profit Factor

0.48

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

01.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?	BUY	45.4¢	22.004	Mar 4
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand	BUY	69.0¢	36.232	Mar 4
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand	BUY	62.0¢	80.645	Mar 4
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	BUY	18.0¢	83.333	Mar 4
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	51.0¢	9.804	Mar 4
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	BUY	25.1¢	59.679	Mar 4
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	BUY	30.0¢	33.364	Mar 4
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?	BUY	25.0¢	40	Mar 4
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?	BUY	52.2¢	19.145	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	34.0¢	29.412	Mar 3
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?	SELL	27.0¢	60.16	Mar 3
Trump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?	BUY	40.1¢	12.469	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	18.0¢	55.556	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	26.0¢	38.462	Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	17.0¢	58.824	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	26.0¢	38.462	Mar 3
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	BUY	39.2¢	25.518	Mar 3
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	52.0¢	9.615	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Camp" this week? (March 8)	BUY	5.3¢	37.62	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8)	BUY	40.0¢	12.5	Mar 3

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing1.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.10

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.6%

Win Consistency47.6%

Profit Factor0.05

Drawdown Resilience0.04

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.04

Weekly Sharpe est.0.03

Trading Activity938 trades · 143 active days

P&L Calendar

$7,53541d profit102d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue