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Duratio

Duratio

0x581d24...1f2b06@Thom_crypto
Smart Score
59
Win Rate
60.9%
Total P&L
+$45.9K
Trade Count
988
Sharpe Ratio
2.93
Sortino Ratio
30.96
Max Drawdown
111.9%
ROI
162.4%
Profit Factor
6.66
Kelly Fraction
0.517
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
059.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢113Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.5¢106.34Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.5¢598Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.5¢247.03Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢247.038Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢499Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢123Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢598Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.5¢13.17Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢72Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢102Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢147Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.5¢1.11Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢1.114Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢15,921.687Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.5¢389.05Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢1.145Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢0.05Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢7,000Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.4¢23,450Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%90%< 10%3%10–20%20–30%30–50%6%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active59.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.26
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)54.0%
Win Consistency54.5%
Profit Factor1.54
Drawdown Resilience1.25
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.25
Weekly Sharpe est.0.95
Trading Activity988 trades · 6 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6782d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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