dwq21e

0x01ea0f...364fb2

Smart Score

Win Rate

25.0%

Total P&L

-$0

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.34

Sortino Ratio

7.49

Max Drawdown

27.8%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

0.93

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

043.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.7¢	31	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.8¢	31	Mar 5
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.9¢	31	Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	96.2¢	5	Mar 5
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.8¢	29	Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	5	Mar 5
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.9¢	29	Mar 5
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.8¢	31	Mar 5
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.9¢	31	Mar 5
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	SELL	95.2¢	20	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	97.4¢	72	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.7¢	21	Mar 5
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	97.5¢	70	Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	96.1¢	38	Mar 4
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	97.8¢	70	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	BUY	98.5¢	7	Feb 26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	97.5¢	72	Feb 26
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	38	Feb 26
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	20	Feb 25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	96.2¢	21	Feb 24

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing43.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.40

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)39.8%

Win Consistency37.5%

Profit Factor1.14

Drawdown Resilience0.92

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.92

Weekly Sharpe est.0.70

Trading Activity20 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$382d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue