dwqqdq

0x1a57ca...70f700

Smart Score

Win Rate

43.5%

Total P&L

+$590

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.67

Sortino Ratio

12.23

Max Drawdown

491.5%

ROI

10.2%

Profit Factor

5.72

Kelly Fraction

0.359

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

041.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?	SELL	99.0¢	850	Mar 5
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?	BUY	99.3¢	850	Mar 4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	2.7¢	741.481	Feb 24
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?	BUY	2.0¢	500	Jan 26
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	BUY	7.0¢	428.571	Jan 20
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in January?	SELL	98.5¢	170	Jan 13
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in January?	BUY	99.0¢	170	Jan 11
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	0.8¢	230	Jan 9
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	0.9¢	230	Jan 8
Maduro out in 2025?	BUY	3.0¢	1,168.233	Dec 25
Maduro out in 2025?	BUY	3.1¢	200	Dec 22
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	BUY	4.0¢	280	Dec 22
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	SELL	0.7¢	240	Dec 10
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	1.0¢	250	Dec 10
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	BUY	0.8¢	240	Dec 9
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?	BUY	1.0¢	250	Dec 9
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.5¢	220	Dec 5
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	99.6¢	220	Dec 4
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	SELL	0.9¢	210	Dec 2
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	1.0¢	210	Dec 1

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing41.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.30

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.0%

Win Consistency18.5%

Profit Factor1.09

Drawdown Resilience0.88

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.88

Weekly Sharpe est.0.67

Trading Activity52 trades · 48 active days

P&L Calendar

$37721d profit27d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue