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egh34yfd

0x0cf516...00c7cb
Smart Score
25
Win Rate
68.2%
Total P&L
+$36
Trade Count
476
Sharpe Ratio
-1.92
Sortino Ratio
-1.73
Max Drawdown
2858.2%
ROI
1.1%
Profit Factor
6.25
Kelly Fraction
0.573
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL96.8¢9.31Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL94.2¢6.38Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY96.9¢9.288Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY94.0¢6.383Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETSELL99.8¢16.16Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETBUY99.0¢16.162Mar 5
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.8¢5.16Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢9.63Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢9.27Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL93.1¢9.67Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL58.2¢15.39Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY58.5¢15.385Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ETBUY99.5¢5.025Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ETBUY99.0¢7.071Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢10.92Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢10.917Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL68.0¢10.31Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY68.0¢10.294Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.0¢8.16Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ETBUY98.0¢7.143Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%14%50–70%9%70–80%8%80–90%66%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.38
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.8%
Win Consistency44.9%
Profit Factor0.65
Drawdown Resilience0.53
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53
Weekly Sharpe est.0.40
Trading Activity476 trades · 38 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5438d profit30d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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