eizenhorng

0x954906...3e4026

Smart Score

Win Rate

17.9%

Total P&L

+$29.8K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.12

Sortino Ratio

13.87

Max Drawdown

50.0%

ROI

9366.3%

Profit Factor

440.64

Kelly Fraction

0.179

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

060.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	BUY	3.0¢	33.333	Mar 5
Trump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?	BUY	3.4¢	58.824	Mar 5
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates	BUY	6.4¢	31.369	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	37.0¢	27.051	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	1.2¢	1,666.667	Mar 5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	2,860	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	3,000	Mar 3
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates	SELL	6.0¢	10.91	Mar 3
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	SELL	14.0¢	8	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	SELL	40.0¢	6.13	Mar 3
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	5.2¢	29.65	Mar 3
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	6.1¢	29.653	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.2¢	16,000	Mar 3
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	SELL	11.0¢	307.69	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.2¢	5,000	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.2¢	2,500	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Mar 2
Trump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?	SELL	15.0¢	22.27	Mar 1
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	SELL	18.0¢	11.11	Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?	BUY	3.9¢	25.641	Mar 1

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active60.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.32

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)54.9%

Win Consistency35.7%

Profit Factor1.57

Drawdown Resilience1.27

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.27

Weekly Sharpe est.0.96

Trading Activity73 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$1285d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue