ElmoLoveGambling

0x6993b4...08c79a

Smart Score

Win Rate

15.5%

Total P&L

+$4.2K

Trade Count

985

Sharpe Ratio

3.57

Sortino Ratio

41.29

Max Drawdown

9.0%

ROI

1021.7%

Profit Factor

3.73

Kelly Fraction

0.114

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

071.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Dee Valladares win Survivor Season 50?	SELL	0.6¢	7	Mar 4
Will Richard Andrés Gómez win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?	SELL	1.7¢	20	Mar 4
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?	SELL	1.5¢	36	Mar 4
Will UCLA win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	SELL	0.5¢	144.4	Mar 4
Will José Gary Áñez win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?	SELL	5.0¢	51	Mar 4
Will Mika Biereth be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	SELL	2.1¢	58	Mar 4
Will Brentford finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	SELL	1.0¢	125	Mar 4
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	SELL	0.5¢	386.37	Mar 4
Will Mika Biereth be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	SELL	3.1¢	7.74	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in March 2026?	SELL	0.5¢	155	Mar 4
Will McCartney Kessler be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	SELL	0.5¢	50	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in March 2026?	SELL	0.7¢	6.5	Mar 4
Will Meituan have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?	SELL	0.5¢	110	Mar 4
Will Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?	SELL	0.5¢	17	Mar 4
Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?	SELL	0.6¢	5	Mar 4
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	SELL	0.7¢	50	Mar 4
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	SELL	1.3¢	50	Mar 4
Will Daniel Thomas win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	SELL	0.6¢	5	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in March 2026?	SELL	0.5¢	30	Mar 4
Will National Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	SELL	0.6¢	53	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active71.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.91

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)64.7%

Win Consistency66.7%

Profit Factor1.85

Drawdown Resilience1.49

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.49

Weekly Sharpe est.1.14

Trading Activity985 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

+$35513d profit0d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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