Elmuny

0x208b97...024ef2
Smart Score
12
Win Rate
83.1%
Total P&L
+$3
Trade Count
89
Sharpe Ratio
-0.58
Sortino Ratio
-0.57
Max Drawdown
1419.8%
ROI
1.5%
Profit Factor
1.13
Kelly Fraction
0.094
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
011.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 5?BUY96.0¢3.125Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 6?BUY91.0¢5.495Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 6?BUY85.0¢5.882Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 5?BUY88.0¢3.409Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 5?BUY91.0¢3.297Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 5?BUY91.0¢3.297Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on March 5?BUY90.0¢3.333Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 4?BUY93.0¢1.602Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 4?BUY90.0¢3.333Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 4?BUY90.0¢3.333Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 2?SELL99.9¢3.37Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?BUY80.0¢3.75Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 2?BUY92.0¢3.261Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 2?BUY89.0¢3.371Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 3?BUY89.3¢3.359Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 3?BUY92.0¢3.261Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 3?BUY88.0¢3.409Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 46°F or higher on March 3?BUY82.0¢3.659Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 2?BUY88.0¢3.409Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on March 2?BUY82.4¢3.639Mar 1
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%13%50–70%10%70–80%49%80–90%24%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing11.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.65
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.7%
Win Consistency56.6%
Profit Factor0.31
Drawdown Resilience0.25
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.25
Weekly Sharpe est.0.19
Trading Activity89 trades · 24 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1570d profit24d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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