elonmuskes

0xa5f00a...f4781d

Smart Score

Win Rate

90.0%

Total P&L

+$925

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.46

Sortino Ratio

6.99

Max Drawdown

9900.0%

ROI

16.4%

Profit Factor

32.10

Kelly Fraction

0.872

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

040.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be 100 or more?	BUY	99.3¢	2,000	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	12.6¢	1,000	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	15.6¢	1,000	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	2,000	Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	BUY	53.0¢	2,000	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	44	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?	SELL	97.7¢	46	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.8¢	46	Mar 2
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?	BUY	98.4¢	45	Feb 24
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	45	Feb 16
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	45	Feb 5
Will Solana reach $210 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	40	Jan 26

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing40.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.21

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.5%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor1.04

Drawdown Resilience0.84

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.84

Weekly Sharpe est.0.64

Trading Activity12 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$5,2850d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue