EnderingSpoon

0x47e7bc...e87c61
Smart Score
38
Win Rate
55.5%
Total P&L
+$399
Trade Count
4,000
Sharpe Ratio
0.80
Sortino Ratio
97.40
Max Drawdown
833.3%
ROI
1.9%
Profit Factor
1.81
Kelly Fraction
0.249
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
038.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?SELL68.0¢10Mar 5
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?SELL98.3¢3.849Mar 5
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?SELL68.0¢5.31Mar 5
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?SELL68.0¢5.985Mar 5
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 7000 (HIGH) in Q1 2026?SELL50.0¢6.65Mar 5
Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?SELL57.0¢3.72Mar 5
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?SELL95.5¢3.59Mar 5
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?BUY8.0¢43.75Mar 5
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?SELL98.3¢5.086Mar 5
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 7000 (HIGH) in Q1 2026?SELL59.0¢2.1Mar 5
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 4?BUY0.1¢2,000Mar 4
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?BUY5.4¢64.81Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?SELL66.0¢10.44Mar 4
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?SELL81.0¢8.53Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?SELL54.0¢14.58Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?SELL81.0¢11.66Mar 4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY18.0¢38.88Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?BUY67.0¢10.44Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?BUY60.0¢11.66Mar 4
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 7000 (HIGH) in Q1 2026?BUY80.0¢8.75Mar 4
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%11%< 10%7%10–20%9%20–30%16%30–50%26%50–70%12%70–80%14%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing38.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.10
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.7%
Win Consistency76.3%
Profit Factor0.99
Drawdown Resilience0.80
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.80
Weekly Sharpe est.0.61
Trading Activity4,000 trades · 21 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$910d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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