Erfgbb

0x9896b9...8bcee6

Smart Score

Win Rate

82.6%

Total P&L

-$15

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.41

Sortino Ratio

0.45

Max Drawdown

97.6%

ROI

-0.6%

Profit Factor

-0.07

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.0¢	267.677	Mar 5
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.9¢	265	Mar 5
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.0¢	267.677	Mar 5
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.7¢	250.752	Mar 5
Will Russia enter Khatnie by February 28, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	1.064	Feb 9
Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with a poison or toxin?	BUY	82.0¢	1.22	Jan 28
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?	BUY	80.0¢	1.25	Nov 25
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?	SELL	79.0¢	1	Nov 25
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?	BUY	80.0¢	1.25	Nov 25
Will Marex Group (MRX) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	97.0¢	1.031	Nov 1
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?	BUY	84.0¢	2.381	Sep 18
Will Saquon Barkley win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?	BUY	90.0¢	1.111	Aug 30
Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?	BUY	96.0¢	2.083	Aug 13
Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?	BUY	82.0¢	2.439	Jul 19
Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?	SELL	55.0¢	2	Jul 19
Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?	BUY	74.0¢	2.703	Jul 19
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?	BUY	96.9¢	1.032	Jul 10
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?	SELL	96.0¢	1	Jul 10
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?	BUY	96.9¢	1.032	Jul 10
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on May 30?	BUY	94.0¢	2.128	May 24

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.30

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.0%

Win Consistency47.8%

Profit Factor0.14

Drawdown Resilience0.12

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.12

Weekly Sharpe est.0.09

Trading Activity22 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$5330d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue