erwgfs

0x62e2a5...1b1abc@cosmildajacint1

Smart Score

Win Rate

93.3%

Total P&L

+$6

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.22

Sortino Ratio

-0.15

Max Drawdown

276.8%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

2.07

Kelly Fraction

0.483

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.8¢	95.19	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 3?	BUY	99.7¢	95.286	Mar 2
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	BUY	99.9¢	94.094	Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	94.094	Feb 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 31?	BUY	99.9¢	94.094	Jan 31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 28?	BUY	99.9¢	94.094	Jan 27
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	94.094	Jan 19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 17?	BUY	99.8¢	94.188	Jan 17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 15?	BUY	99.9¢	94.094	Jan 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 10?	BUY	99.9¢	94.094	Jan 9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 5?	BUY	99.9¢	94.094	Jan 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 3?	BUY	99.9¢	94.094	Jan 1
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 27?	BUY	99.9¢	92.092	Dec 26
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 22?	BUY	99.9¢	92.092	Dec 22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 15?	BUY	99.9¢	92.512	Dec 14
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on December 8?	BUY	99.9¢	65.385	Dec 7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 7?	BUY	99.9¢	27.027	Dec 7
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	92.322	Dec 1
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 25?	BUY	99.9¢	92.232	Nov 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 18?	BUY	99.9¢	86.136	Nov 18

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.39

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.0%

Win Consistency58.7%

Profit Factor0.66

Drawdown Resilience0.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53

Weekly Sharpe est.0.40

Trading Activity60 trades · 43 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,0430d profit43d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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