erwtw

0x0e3beb...bcc1c2@Klarkeyk

Smart Score

Win Rate

93.1%

Total P&L

-$3

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.04

Sortino Ratio

0.08

Max Drawdown

681.3%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

0.75

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.8¢	100.2	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	100.1	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	100.1	Feb 14
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on February 4?	BUY	99.9¢	100.1	Feb 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 31?	BUY	99.9¢	100.1	Jan 31
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 27?	BUY	99.8¢	100.2	Jan 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on January 20?	BUY	99.8¢	99.198	Jan 19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 17?	BUY	99.8¢	99.198	Jan 17
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 15?	BUY	99.9¢	99.099	Jan 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 9?	BUY	99.8¢	99.198	Jan 9
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 5?	BUY	99.9¢	99.099	Jan 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 2?	BUY	99.9¢	99.099	Jan 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 27?	BUY	99.9¢	99.099	Dec 26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 22?	BUY	99.9¢	99.099	Dec 22
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on December 15?	BUY	99.9¢	98.098	Dec 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 7?	BUY	99.7¢	98.897	Dec 7
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on December 1?	BUY	99.9¢	98.598	Dec 1
Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in November 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	98.508	Nov 26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 26?	BUY	0.2¢	1,700	Nov 26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 13?	BUY	99.9¢	101.802	Nov 13

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.70

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.7%

Win Consistency54.2%

Profit Factor0.33

Drawdown Resilience0.27

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.27

Weekly Sharpe est.0.20

Trading Activity57 trades · 43 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,0130d profit43d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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