Esmememeralda

0x5037a3...4f0307

Smart Score

Win Rate

84.4%

Total P&L

+$146

Trade Count

1,582

Sharpe Ratio

0.08

Sortino Ratio

0.09

Max Drawdown

703.4%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

1.08

Kelly Fraction

0.060

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	SELL	81.5¢	30	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	73.1¢	50	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	73.0¢	55	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	72.6¢	29.99	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	SELL	80.4¢	15	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	69.8¢	20	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	70.7¢	20	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	70.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	SELL	81.6¢	30	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	SELL	79.4¢	30	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	SELL	78.8¢	30	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	71.9¢	100	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	83.2¢	20	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	71.5¢	20	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	71.9¢	20	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	SELL	35.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	70.2¢	20	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	69.9¢	8.02	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	31.9¢	10	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	78.5¢	50	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.6%

Win Consistency72.5%

Profit Factor0.47

Drawdown Resilience0.38

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38

Weekly Sharpe est.0.29

Trading Activity1,221 trades · 212 active days

P&L Calendar

$6,37185d profit127d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue