Estellek8

0x5b8713...40a291

Smart Score

Win Rate

94.1%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-2.56

Sortino Ratio

-1.98

Max Drawdown

3441.9%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

1.07

Kelly Fraction

0.062

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	BUY	90.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	SELL	99.9¢	10	Mar 4
Will Supha Xayprasith-Mays win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?	SELL	99.9¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 3?	SELL	99.6¢	10	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 3?	SELL	99.3¢	10	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 3?	BUY	97.0¢	10	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 3?	BUY	97.0¢	10	Mar 2
Will Supha Xayprasith-Mays win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?	BUY	97.6¢	10	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 1?	SELL	99.9¢	10	Feb 28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 1?	BUY	95.0¢	10	Feb 28
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on February 28?	SELL	99.0¢	10	Feb 28
Will Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen win UMK 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	10	Feb 28
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 28?	SELL	99.8¢	4.46	Feb 28
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on February 28?	SELL	99.0¢	10	Feb 28
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on February 27?	SELL	99.3¢	10	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on February 28?	BUY	96.5¢	10	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on February 28?	BUY	97.0¢	10	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 28?	BUY	93.0¢	4.46	Feb 27
Will Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen win UMK 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	10	Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on February 27?	BUY	98.0¢	10	Feb 26

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.48

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.9%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.23

Drawdown Resilience0.18

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.18

Weekly Sharpe est.0.14

Trading Activity66 trades · 28 active days

P&L Calendar

$816d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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