eth234

0x61c7de...8101dd@xieqiong510

Smart Score

Win Rate

69.4%

Total P&L

+$2.0K

Trade Count

1,898

Sharpe Ratio

0.20

Sortino Ratio

0.49

Max Drawdown

1171.4%

ROI

2.3%

Profit Factor

2.42

Kelly Fraction

0.407

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	35.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?	SELL	13.3¢	101.17	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	45.0¢	10	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	68.0¢	200	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	64.0¢	50	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	65.0¢	50	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	66.0¢	113.37	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	50.0¢	40	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	66.0¢	86.63	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	81.0¢	200	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	64.0¢	200	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	72.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	65.0¢	3.81	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	65.0¢	41.19	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	65.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	75.0¢	65	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	67.0¢	200	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	72.0¢	50	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	66.0¢	200	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	65.0¢	100	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.52

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.2%

Win Consistency67.2%

Profit Factor0.72

Drawdown Resilience0.58

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Trading Activity1,864 trades · 119 active days

P&L Calendar

$27556d profit61d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue