Etherion

0x3398ff...7354fe

Smart Score

Win Rate

35.8%

Total P&L

-$213

Trade Count

271

Sharpe Ratio

-0.22

Sortino Ratio

-0.80

Max Drawdown

276.9%

ROI

-17.5%

Profit Factor

0.40

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	28.0¢	3.571	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	SELL	79.0¢	1.58	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	39.0¢	3.487	Mar 2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	BUY	63.0¢	1.587	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	82.0¢	1.707	Feb 28
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	SELL	31.0¢	2.56	Feb 28
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?	BUY	61.0¢	3.279	Feb 28
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?	BUY	85.0¢	2.353	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	69.9¢	1.431	Feb 28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	BUY	67.0¢	2.985	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	SELL	69.0¢	3.44	Feb 25
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	SELL	0.3¢	20	Feb 25
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?	SELL	8.0¢	6.73	Feb 25
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	SELL	52.0¢	1.67	Feb 25
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?	SELL	1.6¢	109.09	Feb 25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	3.3¢	13.12	Feb 24
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	BUY	58.0¢	3.448	Feb 20
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	82.3¢	2.19	Feb 20
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	BUY	60.0¢	1.667	Feb 19
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	45.6¢	2.193	Feb 19

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency33.6%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity271 trades · 57 active days

P&L Calendar

$27620d profit35d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue