ewhdfer

0x404c04...7c74dc

Smart Score

Win Rate

79.1%

Total P&L

+$849

Trade Count

881

Sharpe Ratio

0.36

Sortino Ratio

1.30

Max Drawdown

68.5%

ROI

1.6%

Profit Factor

1.48

Kelly Fraction

0.258

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

045.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 5?	BUY	97.9¢	36.21	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	89.1¢	20	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	BUY	82.0¢	30	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	BUY	97.2¢	50	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	BUY	97.2¢	40	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?	BUY	97.7¢	45	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?	BUY	96.3¢	80	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	BUY	96.4¢	120	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	BUY	28.0¢	80	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	BUY	96.3¢	100	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	BUY	92.2¢	100	Mar 4
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	BUY	95.0¢	12.6	Mar 4
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	BUY	91.5¢	61.81	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?	BUY	96.9¢	54	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	98.6¢	100	Mar 4
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 31, 2026?	BUY	98.0¢	195.95	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?	SELL	58.5¢	100	Mar 4
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	10	Mar 4
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?	BUY	94.0¢	50	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing45.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.51

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)41.5%

Win Consistency65.3%

Profit Factor1.19

Drawdown Resilience0.96

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.96

Weekly Sharpe est.0.73

Trading Activity881 trades · 51 active days

P&L Calendar

$25,1025d profit45d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue