Accrue
Log inGet Access

ExcaliburUA

0x2e02c9...42e3bc
Smart Score
7
Win Rate
28.6%
Total P&L
-$278
Trade Count
24
Sharpe Ratio
-1.01
Sortino Ratio
-1.04
Max Drawdown
8.3%
ROI
-96.6%
Profit Factor
0.00
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
06.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY2.9¢34.483Mar 5
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY3.8¢26.316Mar 5
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.7¢142.857Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY65.4¢7.645Mar 5
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.7¢149.284Mar 5
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.6¢175.833Mar 5
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?BUY1.8¢6,804.385Jul 25
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?BUY6.0¢1,024.31Jun 28
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?BUY6.0¢200Jun 28
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?BUY6.0¢145.47Jun 28
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?BUY6.0¢159.57Jun 28
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?BUY6.0¢117.02Jun 28
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?BUY4.7¢135.35Jun 26
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?BUY4.9¢200Jun 26
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?BUY5.0¢200Jun 26
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?BUY5.1¢200Jun 25
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?BUY5.2¢200Jun 25
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?BUY5.3¢21Jun 25
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?BUY5.4¢21Jun 25
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?BUY5.6¢21Jun 25

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%96%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing6.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.38
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.3%
Win Consistency28.6%
Profit Factor0.18
Drawdown Resilience0.14
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.14
Weekly Sharpe est.0.11

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics