ExcaliburWeb3

0x226c22...48e6e1

Smart Score

Win Rate

8.5%

Total P&L

-$14

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.27

Sortino Ratio

-1.58

Max Drawdown

374.0%

ROI

-7.5%

Profit Factor

0.70

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

01.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	10.1¢	16.65	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	10.6¢	9.434	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	4.8¢	41.633	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	11.9¢	12.04	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	6.0¢	12.48	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	3.5¢	15.15	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	12.0¢	16.653	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	16.6¢	12.048	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	16.8¢	12.485	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	13.2¢	15.152	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	64.7¢	3.48	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	28.7¢	3.93	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	3.2¢	3.7	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	28.7¢	3.484	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	25.4¢	3.937	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	27.0¢	3.704	Mar 1
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	SELL	99.9¢	7.14	Feb 26
Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 25?	BUY	0.5¢	190.17	Feb 25
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	BUY	14.0¢	7.143	Feb 25
Will Flashbots be accused of insider trading?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Feb 25

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing1.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.10

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.6%

Win Consistency34.0%

Profit Factor0.05

Drawdown Resilience0.04

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.04

Weekly Sharpe est.0.03

Trading Activity78 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

$1710d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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