exothetajunkie

0x247876...9b2e62

Smart Score

Win Rate

56.4%

Total P&L

+$20.9K

Trade Count

998

Sharpe Ratio

0.17

Sortino Ratio

2.25

Max Drawdown

218.6%

ROI

25.0%

Profit Factor

3.64

Kelly Fraction

0.409

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

035.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	BUY	55.0¢	20	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	SELL	11.0¢	419.97	Mar 4
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	BUY	54.0¢	63	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	12.0¢	7.01	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	12.0¢	12.99	Mar 4
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	SELL	93.4¢	14.95	Mar 4
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	BUY	36.0¢	34	Mar 4
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	BUY	35.0¢	25	Mar 4
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	SELL	93.4¢	115.05	Mar 4
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	BUY	35.0¢	15	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	14.0¢	247.79	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	14.0¢	35.71	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	14.0¢	2.395	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	14.0¢	2.384	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	14.0¢	11.186	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	14.0¢	46.512	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	14.0¢	54	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	15.0¢	400	Mar 4
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	SELL	93.1¢	20	Mar 4
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	SELL	93.1¢	30	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing35.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.97

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.6%

Win Consistency50.5%

Profit Factor0.93

Drawdown Resilience0.75

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75

Weekly Sharpe est.0.57

Trading Activity998 trades · 76 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,39333d profit43d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue