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ExperimentalDude

ExperimentalDude

0x02b640...9b8f5f
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
71.2%
Total P&L
-$1.5K
Trade Count
1,424
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Sortino Ratio
2.66
Max Drawdown
13568.9%
ROI
-0.7%
Profit Factor
0.87
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
018.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY87.4¢114.416Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETSELL99.1¢13.38Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY74.0¢13.514Mar 4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?SELL99.9¢108.69Mar 4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY92.0¢108.696Mar 4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?SELL83.0¢285.71Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETSELL99.1¢6.42Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY73.0¢6.49Mar 4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY70.0¢285.714Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL99.9¢865.95Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY58.8¢169.965Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY58.6¢170.648Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY57.9¢172.821Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY56.9¢175.638Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY56.5¢176.883Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL45.6¢503.27Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY73.8¢135.514Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY76.7¢130.378Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY84.2¢118.705Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY84.3¢118.667Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%4%10–20%5%20–30%9%30–50%17%50–70%13%70–80%21%80–90%27%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.01
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.7%
Win Consistency40.7%
Profit Factor0.48
Drawdown Resilience0.39
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.39
Weekly Sharpe est.0.29
Trading Activity1,424 trades · 123 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$55,34323d profit99d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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