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ExpertSonic

0x08cf6c...c122b9
Smart Score
16
Win Rate
50.0%
Total P&L
-$26
Trade Count
73
Sharpe Ratio
1.33
Sortino Ratio
2.30
Max Drawdown
299.9%
ROI
-0.4%
Profit Factor
0.74
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
016.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?SELL99.9¢228.91Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY26.0¢48Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?SELL96.0¢10Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?BUY96.4¢100Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?BUY95.8¢138.91Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL70.0¢298Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY80.0¢35Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?SELL33.0¢85.71Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY73.0¢214Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY35.0¢85.714Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL23.0¢150Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY58.0¢49Mar 3
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?SELL71.4¢40Mar 3
US strikes Iraq by March 7?BUY46.0¢24Mar 3
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?BUY87.3¢13.99Mar 3
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?BUY87.4¢20Mar 3
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?BUY87.1¢6.01Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY18.0¢50Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?SELL32.0¢100Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY16.0¢100Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%4%10–20%20–30%13%30–50%50–70%32%70–80%17%80–90%30%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing16.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.90
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.8%
Win Consistency55.6%
Profit Factor0.42
Drawdown Resilience0.34
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.34
Weekly Sharpe est.0.26
Trading Activity73 trades · 8 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$244d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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