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expodealho

0x15086e...b66af2
Smart Score
10
Win Rate
50.5%
Total P&L
-$104
Trade Count
862
Sharpe Ratio
0.41
Sortino Ratio
0.54
Max Drawdown
305.5%
ROI
-4.3%
Profit Factor
0.81
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
010.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?BUY88.0¢1.136Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL67.0¢1.63Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY61.0¢1.639Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢1.08Mar 4
AWS service disrupted by March 31?BUY40.0¢2.5Mar 4
Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?SELL70.0¢1.12Mar 4
Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?BUY89.0¢1.124Mar 4
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 3?BUY88.0¢1.136Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?SELL66.0¢1.78Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY56.0¢1.786Mar 3
Will Prince Andrew record an interview by March 31?SELL95.8¢1.07Mar 3
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY91.0¢1.099Mar 2
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL68.0¢1.94Mar 2
Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?BUY94.0¢1.064Mar 2
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 3+ times during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?SELL50.0¢1.49Mar 2
Will Paris St-Germain finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?BUY96.0¢2.083Mar 2
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 3+ times during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?BUY67.0¢1.493Mar 2
76ers vs. CelticsBUY77.0¢1.299Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL40.2¢2.68Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY37.3¢2.681Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%65%30–50%27%50–70%70–80%80–90%3%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing10.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.57
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.4%
Win Consistency68.8%
Profit Factor0.27
Drawdown Resilience0.22
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22
Weekly Sharpe est.0.16
Trading Activity862 trades · 25 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1,0344d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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