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F45YDF3

0x007fbd...d286ed
Smart Score
24
Win Rate
60.5%
Total P&L
+$10
Trade Count
467
Sharpe Ratio
0.32
Sortino Ratio
4.14
Max Drawdown
796.9%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
1.48
Kelly Fraction
0.196
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
023.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY62.0¢11.29Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY99.0¢19.192Mar 4
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL78.4¢6.21Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETSELL99.9¢9.18Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL83.0¢10.6Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETBUY98.0¢9.184Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL91.6¢9.82Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY91.7¢9.815Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETBUY98.6¢7.099Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL68.0¢7.36Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL61.0¢8.19Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY68.0¢7.353Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY61.0¢8.197Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢10.32Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.9¢10.32Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢6.13Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢6.129Mar 4
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)BUY97.0¢5.155Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢7.15Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢7.15Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%16%50–70%9%70–80%9%80–90%63%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing23.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.29
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.4%
Win Consistency46.3%
Profit Factor0.61
Drawdown Resilience0.49
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49
Weekly Sharpe est.0.38
Trading Activity467 trades · 35 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4438d profit27d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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