faht

0x1def9d...579279

Smart Score

Win Rate

41.7%

Total P&L

-$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

4.21

Sortino Ratio

197.69

Max Drawdown

14.4%

ROI

-0.8%

Profit Factor

0.90

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

061.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	BUY	0.9¢	222.222	Mar 5
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	SELL	29.0¢	14.13	Mar 5
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	BUY	35.4¢	14.131	Mar 4
Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2026 AFC West?	BUY	44.0¢	18.182	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	24.39	Mar 2
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	41.0¢	24.39	Mar 2
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	SELL	13.0¢	62.5	Mar 2
Will Bitmine announce an Ethereum purchase March 3 - March 9?	BUY	30.0¢	16.667	Mar 2
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	BUY	16.0¢	62.5	Mar 1
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	30.7¢	41.66	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	3.6¢	134.72	Mar 1
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	24.0¢	41.667	Mar 1
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?	SELL	47.0¢	50	Mar 1
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	3.6¢	84.34	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	3.7¢	134.721	Mar 1
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?	BUY	30.0¢	50	Mar 1
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?	SELL	70.0¢	25.25	Mar 1
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?	BUY	99.0¢	25.253	Mar 1
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?	SELL	80.0¢	26.36	Mar 1
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?	BUY	75.9¢	26.363	Mar 1

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active61.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.40

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)56.2%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor1.61

Drawdown Resilience1.30

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.30

Weekly Sharpe est.0.99

Trading Activity20 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$171d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue