Fantaman

0x1d8405...d37cff

Smart Score

Win Rate

46.8%

Total P&L

+$21.3K

Trade Count

337

Sharpe Ratio

0.17

Sortino Ratio

1.80

Max Drawdown

1046.1%

ROI

123.9%

Profit Factor

15.97

Kelly Fraction

0.438

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

039.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike eight countries in March?	BUY	14.0¢	35.714	Mar 4
Will Iran strike seven countries in March?	BUY	4.6¢	108.263	Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	85.3¢	23.447	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	31.0¢	6.452	Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	35.0¢	5.714	Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	85.3¢	11.723	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	17.0¢	11.765	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	88.0¢	15.909	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 3?	BUY	99.3¢	45.227	Mar 3
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?	SELL	0.3¢	25	Feb 28
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	BUY	39.0¢	25.641	Feb 26
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	BUY	78.9¢	63.368	Feb 26
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	BUY	73.0¢	109.589	Feb 26
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	5.1¢	49.02	Feb 23
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	4.0¢	25	Feb 23
Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026?	SELL	10.0¢	10	Feb 22
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?	SELL	22.0¢	119.04	Feb 22
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?	SELL	12.7¢	26.31	Feb 22
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	40.0¢	75	Feb 21
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	78.0¢	128.205	Feb 20

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing39.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.18

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.0%

Win Consistency47.6%

Profit Factor1.03

Drawdown Resilience0.83

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.83

Weekly Sharpe est.0.63

Trading Activity201 trades · 62 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,13324d profit34d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue