FB798d

0x1b61a5...a6f050

Smart Score

Win Rate

68.9%

Total P&L

+$7

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.26

Sortino Ratio

0.17

Max Drawdown

2.4%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

1.11

Kelly Fraction

0.066

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

043.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	66.29	Mar 5
Will XRP reach $3.00 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	12.048	Mar 5
Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?	BUY	99.5¢	12.06	Mar 5
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in March?	BUY	99.7¢	12.036	Mar 5
Will Solana dip to $10 in March?	BUY	99.8¢	12.024	Mar 5
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March?	BUY	99.8¢	12.024	Mar 5
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?	BUY	99.8¢	12.024	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?	BUY	99.2¢	12.097	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?	BUY	99.5¢	12.06	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?	BUY	99.7¢	12.036	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?	BUY	99.8¢	12.024	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	12.048	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	12.012	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 2-8?	BUY	99.7¢	12.036	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 March 2-8?	BUY	99.5¢	21.105	Mar 5
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	0.9¢	25,033.75	Mar 5
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	0.8¢	25,033.75	Feb 13
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in January?	BUY	99.8¢	81.754	Jan 27
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.3¢	81.98	Jan 27
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.5¢	81.99	Jan 5

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing43.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.40

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)39.8%

Win Consistency69.3%

Profit Factor1.14

Drawdown Resilience0.92

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.92

Weekly Sharpe est.0.70

Trading Activity92 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

$7253d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue