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0x7e335e...ef3f1c@79382319Hotmail
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
90.3%
Total P&L
+$2
Trade Count
93
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Sortino Ratio
0.31
Max Drawdown
937.8%
ROI
0.1%
Profit Factor
1.17
Kelly Fraction
0.133
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
018.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?BUY99.8¢107.214Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 3?BUY99.9¢107.107Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?BUY0.3¢970Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11?BUY99.9¢110.11Feb 11
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?BUY99.8¢110.21Feb 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 31?BUY99.9¢110.11Jan 31
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 27?BUY99.8¢109.218Jan 27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 20?BUY99.9¢109.109Jan 19
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?BUY99.9¢109.109Jan 17
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 15?BUY99.9¢109.109Jan 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 10?BUY99.9¢109.109Jan 9
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 5?BUY99.9¢109.109Jan 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 2?BUY99.9¢109.109Jan 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 27?BUY99.9¢109.109Dec 26
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on December 22?BUY99.9¢108.108Dec 22
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,700 on December 15?BUY99.9¢108.969Dec 14
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on December 8?BUY99.9¢108.858Dec 7
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?BUY99.9¢108.749Dec 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 26?BUY99.9¢108.638Nov 26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 18?BUY99.9¢108.528Nov 18
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%86%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.01
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.7%
Win Consistency59.1%
Profit Factor0.48
Drawdown Resilience0.38
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38
Weekly Sharpe est.0.29
Trading Activity64 trades · 43 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3,3550d profit43d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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