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0x036c17...df5289
Smart Score
25
Win Rate
68.8%
Total P&L
+$36
Trade Count
429
Sharpe Ratio
-1.85
Sortino Ratio
-1.70
Max Drawdown
2980.6%
ROI
1.1%
Profit Factor
5.38
Kelly Fraction
0.560
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY96.9¢6.192Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETSELL70.1¢8.23Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETBUY97.2¢8.23Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL96.5¢7.23Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY96.8¢7.231Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢5.48Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢5.459Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.8¢5.39Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.9¢5.382Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ETBUY99.7¢7.021Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL79.0¢11.76Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY85.0¢11.765Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL97.7¢7.16Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.5¢10.363Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL78.7¢10.15Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY78.8¢10.152Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ETBUY98.8¢8.097Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL82.2¢6.07Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY82.3¢6.075Mar 4
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY81.0¢11.111Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%15%50–70%8%70–80%7%80–90%68%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.38
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.8%
Win Consistency43.8%
Profit Factor0.65
Drawdown Resilience0.53
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53
Weekly Sharpe est.0.40
Trading Activity429 trades · 37 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5019d profit28d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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