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fe3wfv

0x62ba78...eeb201
Smart Score
49
Win Rate
80.7%
Total P&L
+$4.2K
Trade Count
254
Sharpe Ratio
0.79
Sortino Ratio
11.26
Max Drawdown
7979.6%
ROI
52.8%
Profit Factor
80.72
Kelly Fraction
0.797
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
049/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY98.4¢130Mar 4
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY1.7¢130Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL2.1¢70Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY2.3¢70Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY25.3¢10Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY74.8¢10Mar 4
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.0¢120Mar 4
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY1.1¢120Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL16.1¢120Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY16.3¢120Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY16.5¢30Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.6¢30Mar 4
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY98.3¢120Mar 4
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY1.8¢120Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.8¢100Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY3.3¢100Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY96.9¢80Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY3.2¢80Mar 4
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY6.3¢70Mar 4
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY93.8¢70Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%40%< 10%5%10–20%5%20–30%4%30–50%4%50–70%5%70–80%80–90%36%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing49

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.69
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)44.6%
Win Consistency42.1%
Profit Factor1.27
Drawdown Resilience1.03
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.03
Weekly Sharpe est.0.78
Trading Activity254 trades · 10 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6,8520d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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