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februaryincident

februaryincident

0x3c3a5c...d1a0a2
Smart Score
82
Win Rate
38.2%
Total P&L
+$10.7K
Trade Count
3,997
Sharpe Ratio
2.70
Sortino Ratio
125.22
Max Drawdown
14.6%
ROI
30.5%
Profit Factor
9.94
Kelly Fraction
0.343
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
081.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL31.0¢100Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL30.0¢100Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY25.0¢100Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY26.0¢100Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSELL54.0¢96Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSELL54.0¢0.83Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY46.0¢0.06Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY46.0¢28Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY46.0¢9.94Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY51.0¢58.824Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSELL57.0¢3.96Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSELL65.0¢56.04Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY53.0¢54Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY53.0¢6Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSELL42.0¢35.833Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSELL42.0¢23.72Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSELL42.0¢49Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSELL46.0¢0.55Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSELL46.0¢83Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSELL46.0¢25Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%25%< 10%14%10–20%12%20–30%34%30–50%9%50–70%70–80%3%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Pro81.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.49
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)74.4%
Win Consistency74.6%
Profit Factor2.12
Drawdown Resilience1.72
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.72
Weekly Sharpe est.1.31
Trading Activity3,997 trades · 13 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,2603d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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