FelixKond

0x28c02f...db78e4
Smart Score
11
Win Rate
68.4%
Total P&L
+$2
Trade Count
44
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24
Sortino Ratio
-0.30
Max Drawdown
1361.4%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
1.10
Kelly Fraction
0.061
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
011.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?BUY64.7¢15.455Mar 5
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?BUY67.0¢14.925Mar 4
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL68.0¢15.38Mar 4
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL50.0¢12.82Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL54.1¢12.04Mar 4
Will Hudson Williams attend the Oscars?SELL70.0¢20.42Feb 28
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?BUY61.4¢16.284Feb 27
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?BUY61.0¢16.393Feb 27
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL60.0¢16.66Feb 25
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?BUY69.0¢14.493Feb 25
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?BUY65.0¢15.385Feb 25
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?BUY67.2¢14.874Feb 24
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?BUY69.0¢14.493Feb 23
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?BUY68.0¢20Feb 23
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?SELL79.0¢14.28Feb 23
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?SELL69.0¢43.53Feb 23
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?SELL75.0¢15.7Feb 23
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY83.0¢12.048Feb 22
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?BUY66.0¢15.152Feb 22
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY65.0¢15.385Feb 22
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%3%20–30%3%30–50%61%50–70%10%70–80%3%80–90%19%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing11.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.62
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.2%
Win Consistency57.9%
Profit Factor0.29
Drawdown Resilience0.24
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.24
Weekly Sharpe est.0.18
Trading Activity44 trades · 18 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1436d profit12d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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