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fElon

fElon

0x7bd901...d0bd75
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
90.7%
Total P&L
+$22.1K
Trade Count
3,198
Sharpe Ratio
0.51
Sortino Ratio
1.06
Max Drawdown
147.4%
ROI
5.7%
Profit Factor
3.16
Kelly Fraction
0.620
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?BUY9.0¢2.86Mar 5
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?BUY21.0¢20.54Mar 5
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY26.0¢19Mar 5
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY28.0¢11.5Mar 5
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY26.0¢5Mar 5
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?BUY24.0¢46.33Mar 5
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY28.0¢254.47Mar 5
Will there be at least 1450 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?BUY12.0¢5.914Mar 5
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?BUY24.0¢3.668Mar 4
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL49.0¢200Mar 4
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY25.0¢8Mar 4
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY25.0¢6Mar 4
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY25.0¢10Mar 4
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY48.0¢555Mar 4
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY47.0¢300Mar 4
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY25.0¢10Mar 4
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY25.0¢7Mar 4
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY25.0¢1Mar 4
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY25.0¢10Mar 4
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY26.0¢2Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%18%< 10%5%10–20%9%20–30%5%30–50%9%50–70%4%70–80%7%80–90%43%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.87
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.9%
Win Consistency40.6%
Profit Factor0.88
Drawdown Resilience0.71
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.71
Weekly Sharpe est.0.54
Trading Activity3,198 trades · 135 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$141,95741d profit93d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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