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0x60bd13...048af1
Smart Score
25
Win Rate
82.1%
Total P&L
+$17
Trade Count
68
Sharpe Ratio
0.43
Sortino Ratio
1.13
Max Drawdown
6068.7%
ROI
0.8%
Profit Factor
1.45
Kelly Fraction
0.253
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
024.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?BUY13.0¢7.692Mar 5
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?BUY34.0¢2.941Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?SELL60.0¢3.57Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?BUY28.0¢3.571Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?BUY13.0¢7.692Feb 28
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?BUY47.0¢2.128Feb 26
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY21.8¢9.163Feb 25
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?SELL10.0¢6.66Feb 12
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?BUY30.0¢6.667Feb 12
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY49.0¢4.082Feb 10
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?BUY50.0¢30Feb 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?SELL99.9¢29.92Jan 30
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?BUY66.8¢29.925Jan 29
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETBUY35.0¢2.857Jan 23
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSELL74.0¢3.42Jan 23
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETBUY42.0¢3.476Jan 23
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSELL98.9¢2.14Jan 22
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETBUY46.0¢2.174Jan 22
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETBUY19.0¢26.316Jan 22
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETBUY29.0¢3.448Jan 22

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%6%10–20%10%20–30%16%30–50%8%50–70%70–80%6%80–90%53%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing24.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.36
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.6%
Win Consistency59.0%
Profit Factor0.64
Drawdown Resilience0.52
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.52
Weekly Sharpe est.0.40
Trading Activity55 trades · 27 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2072d profit25d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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