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fhguyhj

0x11426a...57e9c4
Smart Score
37
Win Rate
88.9%
Total P&L
+$13
Trade Count
57
Sharpe Ratio
0.25
Sortino Ratio
0.45
Max Drawdown
1281.9%
ROI
0.8%
Profit Factor
5.10
Kelly Fraction
0.715
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
037.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY25.0¢4Mar 5
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?BUY86.0¢1.163Feb 28
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?SELL82.0¢4.44Feb 28
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?BUY44.0¢2.273Feb 26
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?BUY46.0¢2.174Feb 26
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?BUY81.0¢1.235Feb 26
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?SELL93.3¢11Feb 11
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?BUY45.0¢11Feb 11
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?BUY58.0¢1.724Feb 9
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?SELL98.5¢8.33Feb 3
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?BUY72.0¢8.333Feb 2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?BUY83.0¢16.867Jan 29
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY63.0¢1.587Jan 19
Suns vs. ThunderBUY96.8¢13.43Dec 10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 17?BUY91.0¢13Nov 16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 20?BUY40.0¢5Oct 20
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?SELL97.8¢14.14Oct 20
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?BUY99.6¢14.15Oct 20
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?SELL98.8¢14.26Oct 20
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?BUY99.1¢14.268Oct 20

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%14%30–50%6%50–70%70–80%8%80–90%67%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing37.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.05
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.9%
Win Consistency55.6%
Profit Factor0.97
Drawdown Resilience0.78
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.78
Weekly Sharpe est.0.60
Trading Activity44 trades · 19 active days
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P&L Calendar
$914d profit15d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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